Research Notes: When 2025 Arrived and the Predictions Didn't

Dec 02, 2025

∙ Paid

Behind the Hype Cycle Investigation

Something strange happened in January 2025: Tesla quietly deleted a 2016 blog post promising every Tesla had all the hardware for full self-driving. That quiet deletion raised a question: what happens to predictions when reality arrives?

Started digging into what actually happened in 2025 versus what was predicted for 2…

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